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Trading Strategies

Hybrid Expert System

A hybrid system based on a back propagation network combined with a hand-picked training set picked by an expert. The goal was to generate trades only when the probability of success was high. The network itself was trained against 9 years worth of data. The topology of the network was the following:

  • Input rank: 54
  • Hidden layer rank: 54
  • Other: some nodes were removed to prevent over fitting

This system generated returns of > 660% in a 25 month period with 2.3% max drawdown [1].

[1]http://scholarsmine.umr.edu/post_prints/pdf/00155192_09007dcc8030ba0a.pdf
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